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COMET ATLAS IS BRIGHTENING FASTER THAN EXPECTED
From Space Weather.com — CPL
COMET ATLAS IS BRIGHTENING FASTER THAN EXPECTED: Get ready for a wild ride. Comet ATLAS (C2019 Y4) is plunging toward the sun and, if it doesn’t fly apart first, it could become one of the brightest comets in years.
“Comet ATLAS continues to brighten much faster than expected,” says Karl Battams of the Naval Research Lab in Washington DC. “Some predictions for its peak brightness now border on the absurd.”

Above: Comet Atlas (upper left) glides by spiral galaxy M81 on March 18th. Credit: Rolando Ligustri [more]
The comet was discovered in December 2019 by the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) in Hawaii. Astronomers quickly realized it might be special. On May 31, 2020, Comet ATLAS will pass deep inside the orbit of Mercury only 0.25 AU from the sun. If it can survive the blast furnace of solar heating, it could put on a good show.
However, no one expected the show to start this soon. More than 2 months before perihelion (closest approach to the sun), Comet ATLAS is already “heating up.” The worldwide Comet Observation Database shows it jumping from magnitude +17 in early February to +8 in mid-March–a 4000-fold increase in brightness. It could become visible to the naked eye in early April.
“Right now the comet is releasing huge amounts of its frozen volatiles (gases),” says Battams. “That’s why it’s brightening so fast.”

Can ATLAS sustain this crazy pace? If it has a big nucleus w ith large stores of frozen gas, then yes; we could get a very bright comet. Otherwise, Comet ATLAS might run out of gas, crumbling and fading as it approaches the sun.
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Current best estimates of the comet’s peak brightness in May range from magnitude +1 to -5. If Comet ATLAS hits the high end of that range, a bit brighter than Venus, it could become visible in broad daylight.
Comet McNaught (C/2006 P1) performed that very trick 13 years ago. On Jan. 13, 2007, it swooped past the sun shining at magnitude -5. The absurdly-bright comet was visible at high noon with its tail jutting across blue sky:

Above: Comet McNaught in broad daylight on Jan. 13, 2007. Photo credit: Peter Rosen. [more]
Battams is not optimistic, though: “My personal intuition is that Comet ATLAS is over-achieving, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it fade rapidly and possibly even disintegrate before reaching the sun,” he says.
Come to think of it, that would be a good show, too. Fortunately, NASA has spacecraft with cameras that specialize in seeing things close to the sun.
“The Heliospheric Imager on NASA’s STEREO spacecraft will get a great view of ATLAS from mid-May through early June,” says Battams. “The camera is very sensitive, so we might be able to observe ATLAS’s tail interacting with the solar wind and outflows–as well as any potential breakup events.”
Stay tuned!
From Locus: Various event cancellations
So far, Nebula Awards and CoNZealand are still on, but many large events have been cancelled.
COVID-19 SF Event Cancellations
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Numerous upcoming conventions and literary events have been postponed or canceled as part of efforts to slow the spread of the novel coronavirus that causes respiratory illness COVID-19. The situation remains in flux as the full extent of the pandemic remains to be seen. We will update this story and our convention listing with further information about cancellations and postponements as it becomes available.
- Emerald City Comic Con, scheduled for March 14-20, 2020 in Seattle WA, is attempting to secure new dates for the summer.
- The 41st International Conference on the Fantastic in the Arts, scheduled to run March 18–21, 2020 in Orlando FL, has been canceled.
- The Spectrum Awards ceremony was to be held at Planet Comicon Kansas City, March 20-22, 2020 in Kansas City MO, which has now been canceled.
- MidSouthCon 38, scheduled for March 20-22, 2020 in Memphis TN, has been postponed to 2021.
- The Outer Dark Symposium, originally to be held March 27-28, 2020 in Conley GA, has been postponed until August 14-15, 2020.
- The Bologna Book Fair, first scheduled for March 30 – April 2, 2020 in Bologna, Italy, later announced a postponement to May 4-7, 2020, and then canceled entirely. The next event will be held April 12-15, 2021.
- The annual Williamson Lectureship, planned for April 2-4, 2020 in Portales NM, has been postponed, likely to September 2020.
- Norwescon 43 in Seattle WA, scheduled April 9-12, 2020 has been cancelled.
- The 36th L. Ron Hubbard Writers and Illustrators of the Future workshops, and the gala event scheduled for April 3, 2020 in Hollywood CA, will be postponed until later this year.
- StokerCon 2020 in Scarborough, UK, planned for April 16-19, 2020, is “exploring all options to postpone the convention until later in the year.”
- Swancon, scheduled for April 25-27, 2020 in Perth, Australia, has been canceled.
- The Edgar Awards banquet and symposium, planned for April 30, 2020 in New York, has been cancelled.
- The Bay Area Book Festival, scheduled for May 2-3, 2020 in Berkeley CA, is skipping this year, and will next be held May 1-2, 2021.
Smaller events have also been canceled, like March “SF by the Bay” programs at the San Francisco Public Library, the March Writers with Drinks reading in San Francisco, and the March Fantastic Fiction at KGB reading in New York, though the latter is providing a livestream of readings by Daniel Braum and Robert Levy on March 18, 2020 at 7 p.m. Eastern.
Many events (mostly those planned for later in the year) are still scheduled, including Book Expo in New York (May 27-29, 2020); the SFWA Nebula Conference in Woodland Hills CA (May 28-31, 2020); the Locus Awards Weekend in Seattle WA (June 26-28, 2020); and CoNZealand, the 78th World Science Fiction Convention in Wellington, New Zealand (July 29 – August 2, 2020).
We will update as new information comes to light. If you have information about cancellations, please write to locus@locusmag.com.
A SPECIAL COVID-19 EDITION OF IMPULSE IS HERE!
ATTENTION MonSFFA MEMBERS!
We are living in unprecedented times! The world has not been so shaken by a global public health crisis since the Spanish Flu pandemic of 1918-’19.
Find here as a PDF file for viewing or download a special COVID-19 edition of MonSFFA’s news bulletin, Impulse.
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e-ImpulseSpring2020SpecialEditionPDF
This was not a planned edition, but circumstances have unfolded that prompted us to put this issue out. It deals with the ramifications for our club of the on-going COVID-19 pandemic. Please read it. And remember to wash your hands thoroughly and often with soap and water. And keep well.
(This special issue of Impulse can also be found on this Web site under the “Impulse” drop-down menu.)
New projects broaden the search for alien signals from space
New projects broaden the search for alien signals from space
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Estimating the chance of getting a message from life beyond Earth, say within the next decade, isn’t easy. Even the best experts are reluctant to offer precise odds.
“Anybody who gave you a figure would be talking about religion, not science,” says Jill Tarter, the astronomer who has spent most of her life pursuing the quest to find signals from alien life.
And even if you did get an estimate for that probability, it wouldn’t mean much. (After all, the San Francisco 49ers had a 95 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl with under 8 minutes to go in the game — and still lost.)
MonSFFA meeting is cancelled
All MonSFFA events are cancelled until further notice.
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When Montreal cancels hockey, can Armageddon be far behind?
Max von Sydow 1929-2020
Max von Sydow, Star of ‘The Seventh Seal’ and ‘The Exorcist,’ Dies at 90
Although generally associated with his venerable performances in “serious” films, von Sydow periodically ventured into sillier fare, where he enjoyed playing against audience expectations. That included turns as Ming the Merciless in Flash Gordon (1980) and as a sinister beer maker in the lowbrow Bob and Doug McKenzie comedy Strange Brew (1983).
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Ville-marie and Turcot the focus of road closures
From the Montreal Gazette.
Work on the Ville-marie Tunnel and the Turcot Interchange will force motorists to look for detours if they’re heading through downtown this weekend.
A three-year construction project that began last August on the Ville-marie and Viger tunnels will force the complete closure of westbound Route 136/Highway 720, also known as the Ville-marie, between Exit 5 (Robert-bourassa Blvd./highway 10 East/champlain Bridge/victoria Bridge) and the Turcot Interchange from 11:59 p.m. Friday to 5 a.m. Monday.
The work on Route 136/Highway 720 is taking place overnight and weekends.
As a result of the closure this weekend, access from Route 136/ Highway 720 to westbound Highway 20 (Lachine/honoré-mercier Bridge/dorval) and to northbound Highway 15 (Décarie) will be closed.
As well, entrances to the 720 from St-antoine St. E. and from Viger and Hôtel-de-ville Aves. will be closed, as will the entrances from Fort St. and from Lucien-l’allier St.
Detours to northbound Highway 15 will be available via Renélévesque Blvd. W. or St-antoine W. to Atwater Ave.
As well, the entrance to eastbound Route 136/Highway 720 towards downtown from southbound Highway 15 will be closed from 11:59 p.m. Friday to 5 a.m. Monday.
And access to Highway 20 W from northbound Highway 15 will be closed from 10 p.m. Friday to 10 a.m. Saturday.
Also around the Turcot, Stjacques St. W. from De Courcelle St./glen Rd. to Décarie Blvd. and the Mcgill University Health Centre campus will be closed from 10 p.m. Friday to 5 a.m. Monday.
Around Nuns’ Island, Exit 5 on eastbound Highway 10 (Bonaventure) will be closed on Saturday, between 6 a.m. and midnight.
In the West Island, the Île-auxtortes bridge between Senneville and Vaudreuil-dorion will be reduced to two lanes in either direction between 9 p.m. Friday and 5 a.m. Monday. Traffic will flow in the reverse direction in one eastbound lane during that time.
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MARCH 2020 e-IMPULSE NOW AVAILABLE!
ATTENTION MonSFFA MEMBERS!
The latest issue of Impulse, March 2020, has been released and is also available right here:
In addition, it’s archived on this Web site, along with previous issues, under the “Impulse” drop-down menu.
Here, for your quick perusal, are the details of the club’s upcoming March 7 meeting, as printed in this issue of the club news bulletin:
1:00PM-5:00PM, St-François Room (second floor), Hôtel Espresso, 1005 Guy St.
Meeting Theme: Costuming! With Costume-Con in Montreal this year, we encourage MonSFFen to bring in their best costumes and accessories (or photos thereof) for display!
PROGRAMME
1:00PM-2:30PM; Costuming Show-and-Tell No. 1:
Today is a good day to DIY! Moulding your own Klingon forehead prosthetic—see how it’s done!
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